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We expect ZB to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect ZB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.1%. A price movement of 345 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Jun 11:00
26 Mar 12:00
30 Jan 12:00
19 Dec 12:00
19 Sep 11:00
01 Aug 11:00
02 May 11:00
21 Mar 12:00
07 Feb 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Walt Disney moves higher to 122.31 in the last 2 days.

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We expect a $0.291 movement on HG within 48 hours following the event release at 06 Aug 06:00.

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