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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 85.71% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 12:30 if the released value is < -0.5%. A price movement of 66 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 13:30
24 Nov 13:30
24 Jun 12:30
27 May 12:30
26 Apr 12:30
24 Mar 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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