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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 31 Jul 09:00 if the released value is > 1%. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 10:00
31 Jan 10:00
29 Jul 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

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