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We expect TN to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect TN to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect TN to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 11 Aug 12:30 if the released value is > 5.3%. A price movement of 117 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Jul 12:30
10 Jun 12:30
12 May 12:30
13 Apr 12:30
13 Jan 13:30
10 Dec 13:30
11 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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