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We expect S to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 4.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jun 12:15
04 May 12:15
02 Feb 13:15
08 Sep 12:15
09 Jun 11:45
14 Apr 11:45
16 Dec 12:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

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We expect a $6260765 movement on NQ within 12 hours following the event release at 2023-07-27 12:30.

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