Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 4.25%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
15 Jun 12:15 |
04 May 12:15 |
02 Feb 13:15 |
08 Sep 12:15 |
09 Jun 11:45 |
14 Apr 11:45 |
16 Dec 12:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).