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We expect HE to trend downwards with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect HE to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect HE to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is > 30K. A price movement of 207 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Apr 01:30
18 Mar 00:30
17 Dec 00:30
19 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $0.293 movement on NG within 12 hours following the release of Employment Change.

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AUS200 – breach of a trending support line that has been tested at least twice before.

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