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We expect GI to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect GI to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect GI to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 19 May 06:00 if the released value is < 676.5K. A price movement of 3,907 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect HG to trend downwards for the next 48 hours.

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We expect KW to trend upwards for the next 12 hours.

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