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We expect FV to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect FV to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect FV to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 15 Mar 23:50 if the released value is > ¥-112.6B. A price movement of 30 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jan 23:50
19 May 23:50
18 Apr 23:50
16 Feb 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect FV to trend upwards today.

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USD/CAD is approaching the support line of a Support. It has touched this line numerous times in the last 36 days.

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