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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we could expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 04 May 12:15 if the released value is < 395K. A price movement of 27 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Feb 13:15
04 Aug 12:15
05 May 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Important price line being approached by Travelers Cos Inc.. This price has been tested numerous times before.

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A possible $220 movement on EURUSD within the next 2 hours.

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