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We expect ED to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect ED to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect ED to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 12 Sep 12:30 if the released value is > 1690K. A price movement of 3 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 12:30
01 Aug 12:30
03 Jul 12:30
27 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $8,176.45 movement on LB.

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