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We expect CT to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect CT to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect CT to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 19 Dec 23:30 if the released value is = 0.2%. A price movement of 154 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After testing 385.0000 numerous times, CORN MARCH 2020 is once again approaching this price point. Can we expect a bearish trend to follow?

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