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We expect a 47,250 pip movement on NKD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 47,250 pip movement on NKD within 4 hours following the event release at 12 May 12:30 UTC. We expect NKD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 12 May 12:30 UTC if the released value is > 0.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Feb 13:30
11 Dec 13:30
13 Nov 13:30
13 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NIY to trend upwards for the next 12 hours.

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We expect a 3,030 pip movement on EMD for the next 2 hours.

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