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We expect a $340 movement on AUDUSD within the next 2 hours.

Based on past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > ¥-425B. A price movement of 34 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 May 23:50
19 Apr 23:50
15 Feb 23:50
18 Jan 23:50
19 Oct 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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