Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $1217454 movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-03-16 13:15. We expect ES to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-03-16 13:15 if the released value is = 3.5%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
02 Feb 13:15 |
15 Dec 13:15 |
09 Jun 11:45 |
14 Apr 11:45 |
10 Mar 12:45 |
03 Feb 12:45 |
16 Dec 12:45 |
09 Sep 11:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
