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We expect a 31125 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $1217454 movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-03-16 13:15. We expect ES to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-03-16 13:15 if the released value is = 3.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Feb 13:15
15 Dec 13:15
09 Jun 11:45
14 Apr 11:45
10 Mar 12:45
03 Feb 12:45
16 Dec 12:45
09 Sep 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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