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We expect a $290 movement on USDJPY within the next 2 hours.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, USDJPY could experience an upwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this, and the trend could last 2 hours because the released value is > €21.5B.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Feb 07:00
08 Jan 07:00
04 Dec 07:00
03 Nov 07:00
05 Oct 06:00
05 Jun 06:00
04 May 06:00
02 Feb 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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