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We expect a 2,890 pip movement on EMD within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect a 2,890 pip movement on EMD within 48 hours following the event release at 21 Feb 08:30 UTC. We expect EMD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 21 Feb 08:30 UTC if the released value is < 44.8 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 08:30
24 Oct 07:30
24 Jul 07:30
18 Apr 07:30
21 Feb 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Support line breached by GER30. This price has been tested at least twice before.

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BCHEUR is quickly approaching 356.8700. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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