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We expect a 18 pip movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect a 18 pip movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 05 Nov 13:30 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 05 Nov 13:30 UTC if the released value is < $-52.5B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Oct 12:30
04 Sep 12:30
02 Aug 12:30
03 Jul 12:30
06 Mar 13:30
06 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 11 pip movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release.

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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