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We expect a 105 pip movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a 105 pip movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2023-05-04 12:15. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2023-05-04 12:15 if the released value is = 3.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Feb 13:15
15 Dec 13:15
27 Oct 12:15
08 Sep 12:15
09 Jun 11:45
14 Apr 11:45
10 Mar 12:45
16 Dec 12:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 21250 pip movement on NIY within 4 hours following the event release.

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D’après les derniers 12 événements Bce La Décision De Taux D'Intérêt en Zone Euro, nous prévoyons que USDCAD ira à la hausse plus tard dans la journée. Basé sur ces derniers événements, cela arrivera avec une probabilité de 72,73%.

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