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We expect a $0 movement on FF within 4 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 08:30.

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect a $0 movement on FF within 4 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 08:30. We expect FF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 08:30 if the released value is > 39.6

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Feb 08:30
24 Jan 08:30
22 Nov 08:30
22 Aug 07:30
21 Jun 07:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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