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We expect a $0.036 movement on HO within 48 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 06:00.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $0.036 movement on HO within 48 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 06:00. We expect HO to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 06:00 if the released value is > £-2.2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Mar 07:00
12 Nov 07:00
09 Oct 06:00
12 Aug 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 66.67% chance of BP trending upwards

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We expect a $0 movement on 6M within the next 48 hours.

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