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We expect 6M to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect 6M to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect 6M to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 27 Oct 14:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Sep 14:00
14 Jul 14:00
09 Jun 14:00
21 Apr 14:00
09 Dec 15:00
15 Jul 14:00
03 Jun 14:00
15 Apr 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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