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There is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on past United Kingdom PPI Input YoY news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 5 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 May 08:30
17 Apr 08:30
13 Feb 09:30
19 Sep 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

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US30 is quickly approaching the resistance line of a Rising Wedge. We expect either a breakout through this line or a rebound.

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