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There is a 75% chance of USDJPY trending downwards

Based on past Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news events there is a 75% chance of USDJPY trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.8%. A price movement of 173 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Jul 09:00
13 May 09:00
14 Dec 10:00
12 Nov 10:00
13 Oct 09:00
15 Sep 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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