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There is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect a $540 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2023-06-07 12:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-06-07 12:30 if the released value is > $-75.2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Feb 13:30
05 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30
05 Oct 12:30
04 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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