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There is a 66.67% chance of RTY trending upwards

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of RTY trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > A$5.154B. A price movement of 1,169 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 May 01:30
09 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect C to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

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