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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $690 movement on AUDUSD.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event later today. Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $690 movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 12 Sep 12:30. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1690K. A price movement of 69 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 12:30
01 Aug 12:30
03 Jul 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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