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Are you on the right side of the US Retail Sales MoM news event?

Are you on the right side of the US Retail Sales MoM news event?

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in US, we expect GBPUSD to trend down later today. Based on these past events there is a 80.0% of this.
We expect GBPUSD to trend down 2 hours following the event release at 15 Oct 12:30 if the released value is > 0.6%. A price movement of 27 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 12:30
 
14 Jun 12:30
 
14 Dec 13:30
 
15 Nov 13:30
 

* All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”)

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