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We expect a $33,456.965 movement on GC within 4 hours following the event release at 14 Apr 02:00.

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect a $33,456.965 movement on GC within 4 hours following the event release at 14 Apr 02:00. We expect GC to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 14 Apr 02:00 if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Sep 02:00
12 Aug 02:00
24 Jun 02:00
12 Feb 01:00
25 Sep 02:00
26 Jun 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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