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There is a 66.67% chance of YM trending downwards

Based on past New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of YM trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 46,750 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Feb 01:00
11 Nov 01:00
23 Sep 02:00
24 Jun 02:00
13 May 02:00
25 Sep 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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