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We expect S to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Deposit Facilty Rate events in Euro Area, we expect a $22349 movement on S within 2 hours following the event release at 2024-03-07 13:15. We expect S to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-03-07 13:15 if the released value is = 4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Jan 13:15
04 May 12:15
16 Mar 13:15
15 Dec 13:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now.

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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 12 hours.

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