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We expect RTY to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 1,105 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Apr 12:30
23 Dec 13:30
24 Oct 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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