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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 35.5. A price movement of 1,525 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 05:00
06 Jan 05:00
29 Oct 05:00
01 Jul 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $0.014 movement on BP within 12 hours following the event release at 30 Apr 05:30.

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