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We expect a $4,182,000 movement on NKD within 48 hours following the event release at 19 Apr 23:50.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $4,182,000 movement on NKD within 48 hours following the event release at 19 Apr 23:50. We expect NKD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 19 Apr 23:50 if the released value is > ¥420B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 23:50
18 Feb 23:50
17 Sep 23:50
17 Jul 23:50
18 Jun 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After experiencing a 6.21% bearish move in the space of 6 days, nobody knows where Wheat MAY 2020 is headed.

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We expect DX to trend downwards right now.

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