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There is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 2%. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 18:00
19 Jun 18:00
01 May 18:00
19 Dec 19:00
08 Nov 19:00
26 Sep 18:00
13 Jun 18:00
02 May 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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