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What to trade around the DE Unemployment Change news event

What to trade around the DE Unemployment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Change events in DE, we expect NZDUSD to trend up right now. Based on these past events there is a 83.3% of this.
We expect NZDUSD to trend up for the next 4 hours because the released value is < -5K. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Mar 08:55
 
04 Jan 08:55
 
29 Nov 08:55
 
28 Sep 07:55
 
30 May 07:55
 

* All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”)

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