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We may see USDCAD trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

USDCAD could trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 80% chance of this. This could happen only if the released value is > 1310K. The price movement may be as big as 259 pips.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jun 12:30
09 Jun 12:30
28 Apr 12:30
07 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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USD/CHF is approaching 0.9639. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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CL may be ready to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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