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We may see USDCAD trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

USDCAD could trend upwards later today. Based on these past Euro Area Unemployment Rate news events there is a 80% chance of this. This could happen only if the released value is < 6.8%. The price movement may be as big as 20 pips. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 10:00
01 Feb 10:00
30 Jul 09:00
01 Jun 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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USD/CAD has broken through resistance of a Falling Wedge. It has touched this line at least twice in the last 6 days.

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GC could trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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