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We may be expecting a $0 movement on BP within 4 hours following the event release at 11 May 12:30.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, a $0 movement could occur on BP within 4 hours following the event release at 11 May 12:30. We expect BP to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 11 May 12:30 if the released value is > 8.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Apr 12:30
10 Feb 13:30
13 Oct 12:30
11 Aug 12:30
13 Jul 12:30
10 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A $1,100 movement could be seen on EURUSD within 48 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY.

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EUR/USD is approaching 1.0525. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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