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We expect ZW to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect a 61 pip movement on ZW within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 09:00. We expect ZW to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 09:00 if the released value is < 1.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Aug 09:00
07 Jan 10:00
31 Oct 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 52 pip movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release.

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We expect a $12079800 movement on NIY within the next 12 hours.

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