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We expect ZW to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we may expect ZW to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is < ¥-360.4B. A price movement of 25 pips may be experienced. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Oct 23:50
20 Aug 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $116 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the release of Balance of Trade.

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