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We expect ZC to trend downwards today.

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of ZC trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -5. A price movement of 650 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Mar 00:30
08 Oct 00:30
10 Sep 01:30
13 Aug 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 11 pip movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

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We expect a $110 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-07-08 01:30.

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