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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect YM to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 50K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Aug 06:00
17 Dec 09:30
12 Nov 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect UB to trend upwards today.

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