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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect YM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect YM to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-12-06 15:00 if the released value is < 53.1. A price movement of 645 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Sep 14:00
07 Aug 14:00
06 Jun 14:00
06 Mar 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $214461 movement on ES within the next 2 hours.

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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards with a 80% chance.

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