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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-01-28 13:30 if the released value is < 0.8%. A price movement of 42 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Dec 14:30
27 Nov 13:30
25 Jul 12:30
27 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1073 movement on GF within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-01-28 13:30.

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There is a 80% chance of EURUSD trending upwards

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