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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect a $302 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 06:45. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 06:45 if the released value is > 1.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jun 06:45
31 Oct 07:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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