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We expect USDJPY to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-02-06 00:30 if the released value is < A$7B. A price movement of 30 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Nov 00:30
02 May 01:30
07 Mar 00:30
05 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $5540412 movement on YM within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-02-06 00:30.

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