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We expect USDCHF to trend upwards with a 75% chance.

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 170K. A price movement of 37 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 12:30
06 Sep 12:30
03 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 241 pip movement on LE within 12 hours following the event release.

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We expect S to trend downwards right now.

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