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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $790 movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-10-03 12:30. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-10-03 12:30 if the released value is < 50K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Sep 12:30
01 Aug 12:30
07 Mar 13:30
01 Nov 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EMD to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

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FTSE 100 reached 9451.85 after a 1.84% move spanning 2 days.

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